jueves, 27 de septiembre de 2007

astrologer sydney

IT didn't take long for the Burmese junta to show its teeth. Eight days of protests had passed without reprisals; mass marches of 100,000 people led by barefoot monks in saffron robes, chanting Buddhist mantras.

But on the ninth day the Burmese military finally pounced, firing shots in the air, using batons and tear gas to subdue dissidents, and arresting an estimated 100 democracy aspirants.

A sense of the tension can be heard in one young Burmese journalist's voice. She is excited by the prospect of change and terrified of the Burmese authorities. She knows exactly how oppressive the anachronistic and strangely named State Peace and Development Council has been.

Her homeland has quietly endured decades of misery, torture, abuse and the long incarceration of the beloved National League of Democracy leader Aung San Suu Kyi.

"We have to wait and see," the journalist says, preferring to keep her identity a secret to avoid reprisals.

The mood in Rangoon oscillates between hope and fear. "So far, we have to be pleased about it," she says. "The monks, they are very brave. They are chanting mantras, Buddhist teachings, they are not talking about political matters." She will not be writing the truth about the protests, she says. "Anything written, it will be rejected."

Following in the footsteps of the rain-sodden monks who have taken to the streets of Rangoon in their thousands, several international figures have pushed for change in Burma.

US President George W. Bush condemned the tyrannical Burmese junta during his visit to Sydney for the Asia-Pacific Economic Co-operation forum leaders summit, and this week he announced sanctions against junta leaders and their financiers.

UN special envoy Ibrahim Gambari last week briefed the Security Council on his "serious concerns" regarding Burma, and he plans to visit the country soon, perhaps next month. Closer to home, Australian Foreign Minister Alexander Downer says the eyes of the world are on Burma and urges the regime to "exercise maximum restraint".

A democracy activist in Rangoon says protesters want to encourage political change and avoid bloodshed.

"Definitely there are a lot of people who are very moved and who are very emotional," she says. Still, she adds, the people of Burma are worried about the consequences of the uprising, consequences that could easily involve mass arrests, assault and slaughter.

"But this is a time which is very critical, and they will understand that this is the case and they will need to do something."

Resting its back against the might of China to the north, the SPDC regime has long ignored the polemic from notables such as one-time Czech president Vaclav Havel, South African archbishop and Nobel Peace Prize laureate Desmond Tutu, and more recently US first lady Laura Bush.

For years Russia and China have staunchly resisted any efforts to discuss Burma in the Security Council. Now, though, it appears China -- mindful of its international image and sensitive to criticism as the 2008 Beijing Olympics loom nearer -- has advised the Burma regime to refrain from the brutal oppression at which it has become so adept.

Refusing to accept alms from anyone in the military and thereby imperilling soldiers' important religious observances, the rebel monks set the scene for a showdown. There are more than 400,000 monks in Burma, and only a small percentage have marched through the streets, but many senior abbots have so far declined to block their efforts.

Yesterday, the regime declared a dusk-to-dawn curfew in Rangoon and Mandalay, and used truck-mounted loudspeakers to warn that meetings of more than five people were illegal. Burma's Religious Affairs Minister, Brigadier-General Thura Myint Maung, has publicly accused the monks of being manipulated by the Government's domestic and foreign enemies, and warned that if senior abbots failed to restrain their disciples, the Government would act.

Burma has groaned under a military dictatorship since 1962 and the last big uprising, in 1988, was swiftly and brutally crushed, leaving as many as 3000 people dead.

Aung Zaw, editor of The Irrawaddy news magazine based in northern Thailand's Chiang Mai, was a student dissident in the famous 1988 protests. He was imprisoned in Rangoon's notorious Insein jail and tortured. He finally fled to Thailand.

"The monks have been on the streets again; I think it's the moment of truth," Zaw says. The sheer size of the protests amazes him; the crowds of monks, nuns and civilians willing to brave the worst the junta can bowl up, from indiscriminate killings to long terms in prison.

Monks are revered in Burma. They command immense moral authority. They initially limited themselves to prayer and chanting, and advised civilians to stay away from the marches.

On the weekend, though, the hitherto unknown All Burma Monks Alliance stepped into the spotlight and urged people to struggle peacefully against the military dictatorship. The army provoked the monks' ire earlier this month when soldiers fired over the heads of a group of monks demonstrating in the central town of Pakokku where, according to some reports, monks were beaten and arrested. There have also been reports of the military firing warning shots and tear gas at a monks' protest in the town of Sittwe, and for two days monks were barred from the golden Shwedagon Pagoda in Rangoon, Burma's holiest temple.

Zaw fears the regime will resort to yet more violence to contain the uprising: "We've been receiving warnings, how to take care of shooting victims in case this happens." He doesn't believe the junta leaders will step aside and he doesn't think the people of Burma expect regime change. "I don't think people are stupid," he says. "Burmese people are very guarded; they have lived with this junta for many years."

The best hope for many is a gradual relaxation of the regime's stranglehold on the people and some negotiation with the democracy leaders.

The junta's much-touted National Constitutional Convention, the first of the military's "seven steps to democracy", finally ended last month, after 14 years of delay and obfuscation. Suu Kyi's NLD boycotted the convention, which has been roundly declared a fraud.

Rather than the promised decentralised authority and respect for minority rights, the constitutional road map cements the military's role in government and the economy. As the junta's leaders sit in their palaces in Naypyidaw, the bizarre new capital carved out of the jungle last year, Rangoon seethes.

For decades the dilapidated city, set on a curve of the Irrawaddy river, has endured the quixotic edicts of the junta leaders, few with any regard for the health and happiness of the Burmese people. The nation is mired in poverty and suffering, enduring a silent crisis of widespread squalor, inadequate health care and the misery of thousands of refugees camped on the borders.

The 500,000 members of the Karen, Karenni and Mon tribes of eastern Burma -- subject to forced evictions, forced labour and the destruction of crops -- have some of the worst health conditions in the world.

Myint Cho, from the Australia Burma Council, says the uprising of recent days is the first national protest since the doomed marches of 1988.

Initially sparked by a sharp increase in fuel prices last month, the protests have grown into a nationwide movement for change, pushing the regime to take the first steps towards dealing with the poverty and resulting anger that has marked the nation.

"I believe if they face domestic and international pressure, they have no alternative," Cho says.

"The UN is too little, too late. We need to convince China and India to convince the military Government to begin negotiations." He says that while ASEAN has maintained a policy of non-interference for many years, more recently the leaders of Malaysia, Indonesia and The Philippines have made it clear the junta must begin to change.

The living symbol of Burma's democracy movement is Suu Kyi, the adored Nobel Peace Prize laureate who has spent 11 of the past 17 years imprisoned in her home in University Avenue, Rangoon. She has been more or less completely isolated since May 2003, when she was rearrested after government militias attacked her convoy in Depayin, upper Burma, and beat to death more than 100 of her supporters.

So her appearance at her gate on the weekend astounded the waiting monks and activists. She didn't say anything but, according to some reports, had tears in her eyes.

"She was at the gate, I think she could (make a speech) but she won't, she is very restrained, she does not want to ignite the situation," Zaw says.

"If she would give a one-minute speech, or a two-minute speech ..." Zaw doesn't finish his sentence, but the meaning is clear. Now there have been reports Suu Kyi has been moved to Insein prison; certainly she hasn't been seen since that weekend appearance.

Some Burma observers wonder whether Suu Kyi's adamant adherence to pacifism has been a mistake, whether it would have been better in the long run to permit an armed surge to seize government after the election-losing junta refused to hand over power in 1990. The NLD had won the election by a landslide and the nation was ripe for change. Since then, thousands of her followers in the NLD have been slaughtered, imprisoned or harried into exile.

Yet perhaps the time is finally right. The junta leader, Senior General Than Shwe, is 74 and in poor health. Despite a gas pipeline deal with China that pulls in billions of dollars, Burma is in financial straits and the regime's excesses and fiscal mismanagement have forced it to make drastic cuts in expensive fuel and energy subsidies.

The young journalist and democracy activist says the Burmese people know the immense risks of pushing the junta.

"But the situation has become unbearable for a lot of the people," she says, adding the only real option is to press on.

"I hope for much better change; that's what we all hope."

Sian Powell is a former Indonesia correspondent for The Australian.

Timeline

* August 8, 1988: Burmese military opens fire on demonstrators in what is known as the 8888 Uprising. More than 3000 people are killed.

* 1990: Elections held. The results are annulled. The National League for Democracy, led by Aung San Suu Kyi, wins more than 60 per cent of the vote and more than 80 per cent of seats. The military-backed National Unity Party wins fewer than 2 per cent of seats.

* 1991: Aung San Suu Kyi wins the Nobel Peace Prize. She spends most of the following years under house arrest.

* 1992: Military leader Than Shwe, a former psychological warfare expert, takes power. He is believed to make decisions guided by astrology.

* November 7, 2006: Shwe gives civil servants a few hours to move from Rangoon to the country's new capital, Naypyidaw. The junta rules in total secrecy and near isolation in a hidden compound there. The only glimpse of the ruling elite's lives comes from a video of Shwe's daughter's wedding showing guests drinking champagne and a bride bedecked in jewellery.

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The Snickers Competition is all about helping launch the career of the next great stand up comic. Comedy clubs across Australia are holding gigs in the search for the best up and coming comic talent. Yet it all comes down to the online viewers, with an online vote deciding the national winner who will perform the stand-up spot on the Rove TV Show, the largest single regular audience for pure stand up comedy in Australia with over 1million viewers.

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Dave Hughes is perhaps one of the most important and significant talents to have emerged from the Australian Comedy scene in the last ten years. A natural and unmistakably Australian comic, Dave's laconic style thinly disguises one of the fastest comic minds this country has ever seen.

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NEW DELHI -- Security forces in Myanmar raided two monasteries early today after a violent crackdown on anti-government protests in which at least one person was killed, according to news and witness accounts trickling out of the closed-off country.

Seeking to prevent a 10th consecutive day of demonstrations against their autocratic rule, the military leaders of Myanmar, also known as Burma, ordered the raid on the two prominent monasteries in the main city of Yangon. As many as 200 Buddhist monks were reportedly arrested.


A monk runs as tear gas fills the air during Myanmar protest.
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On Wednesday, dozens of monks were said to have been beaten and dragged off by authorities after defying official warnings by rallying in the center of Yangon. Protests were also reported in Mandalay, Myanmar's second city.

The ruling military junta acknowledged that one man had been killed and three wounded during the standoff in Yangon, but witnesses and overseas dissident groups told news agencies that as many as five people had died of gunshot wounds or other causes amid demonstrations attended by thousands of people.

"They are marching down the streets, with the monks in the middle and ordinary people either side. They are shielding them, forming a human chain," one witness told Reuters news service, as the crowd behind roared its anger at government forces.

By nightfall Wednesday the streets of Yangon appeared to be deserted, under a 9 p.m.-to-5 a.m. curfew.

The resort to force by Myanmar's secretive government prompted statements of concern and condemnation from around the world.

"If these stories are accurate, the U.S. is very troubled that the regime would treat the Burmese people this way," White House National Security Council spokesman Gordon D. Johndroe said. "We call on the junta to proceed in a peaceful transition to democracy."

President Bush on Tuesday announced new sanctions against Myanmar and urged other world leaders to keep the pressure on.

"The whole world is now watching Burma, and its illegitimate and repressive regime should know that the whole world is going to hold it to account," British Prime Minister Gordon Brown said. "The age of impunity in neglecting and overriding human rights is over."

After an emergency session Wednesday, the United Nations Security Council called for Myanmar's military government to "exercise restraint" toward peaceful demonstrators. Discussion of sanctions or a formal statement of condemnation were blocked by Russia and China, which said the protests were an internal situation that did not constitute a threat to international peace and security.

China, Myanmar's largest trading partner and traditional ally, has been working behind the scenes to persuade the government to hold back, said China's U.N. Ambassador Wang Guangya. "We have passed on word that they should not do anything to escalate the violence or make the situation more complicated," he said.

Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon held a half-hour meeting with Myanmar's foreign minister and Wednesday night dispatched the U.N.'s special envoy for the country. The envoy, Ibrahim Gambari, had yet to receive a visa from the Myanmar government.

France's foreign minister, Bernard Kouchner, said that the European Union might join the United States and impose trade and financial restrictions on the country's rulers, but that sanctions were not enough.

"The generals care little about world attention and compassion. What we need now is political pressure from countries of the region," Kouchner said. "It's our only chance to decisively help the Burmese."

Myanmar has been in the grip of military rule for 45 years, a period that has seen a cosmopolitan Asian nation rich in natural resources plunge into poverty, isolation and oppression.

The current protests were sparked by a rise in fuel prices, which hit residents hard. Led by monks, who hold strong moral authority in Myanmar society, the crowds have swollen in number over the last eight days and presented the military junta with its largest and most sustained challenge since 1988, when the government crushed protesters by firing on them, killing an estimated 3,000 and arousing international outrage.

Television footage from Wednesday's protests showed both clerics and civilians marching through Yangon's streets. One young monk, waving a multicolored flag, could be seen shouting angrily and, it appeared, trying to rally the spirits of others.

Other protesters over the last few days have flown the peacock banner identified with pro-democracy campaigner Aung San Suu Kyi, the Nobel Peace Prize winner who has been under house arrest for most of the last 18 years.

The demonstrators' defiance of a ban on public assembly by a government known for treating dissent ruthlessly attests to the depth of anger coursing through society, analysts said.
A growing waistline and darkening bags under his eyes were not the only signs that Queensland Premier Peter Beattie should quit politics - it was written in the stars.

Sydney-based astrologer Yasmin Boland said a new moon eclipse on Tuesday night had created an atmosphere of change.

In particular, she said it was a week for letting go of things - whether it be a job, a relationship, or a fear.

"If you have been clinging on to something, but it's not right for you ... an eclipse is a time when you (let go of the job) yourself, like Peter Beattie, which is the best way - or the universe does it for you," Ms Boland said.

An astrology chart for Mr Beattie shows the influence of Saturn, the planet of pressure, has just ended, and Jupiter, the planet of travel and diplomacy, is in play.

"Maybe he already has a job lined up in the wings and hasn't told us about it," Ms Boland said.

And the universe may yet conspire to bring about Prime Minister John Howard's resignation.

For Mr Howard, who has been under unprecedented pressure to step aside on Tuesday, the eclipse has activated Neptune, the planet of confusion.

"He does need to be extremely careful now, not to appear confused," Ms Boland said.

"Even if he's got no clue about whether to stay or to go, as soon as he shows any chinks in his armour, the vultures will swoop."

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